Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at Store Championship DTR
decks
2
(16.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
2-4-1
overall winrate
35.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
37.4%
avg ELO -6.3 per match
expected value
47.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1405
· median 1405
· range 1305–1504
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1175
Q1 1230
Q3 1412
1532
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 16.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.6% | -19.9 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 16.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.5 |
| Water Allies | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.1 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.9 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.0% | -19.2 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
